tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-977400976507800225.post899852596084528858..comments2017-09-24T06:56:54.944-07:00Comments on The Science of Horse Training: Uncle Mo: Why Winning the BC Juvenile is a Bad ThingBillhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01925835645395247607noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-977400976507800225.post-31180601336945918952011-02-04T06:00:33.086-08:002011-02-04T06:00:33.086-08:00Interesting article from 2004 that basically disco...Interesting article from 2004 that basically discounts all of my post:<br /><br />http://www.troyrecord.com/articles/2004/10/21/horse%20racing/13199883.txt?viewmode=fullstory<br /><br />Written before Street Sense, Mr. Kling shows how nearly 50% of all BC Juvenile starters go on to win stakes races later on in their careers.<br /><br />Maybe so, but that is not my point. My point is BC Juvie Winners (not starters) and the Kentucky Derby (not a stakes win at 4 or later). <br /><br />Winners obviously have to peak compared to their competition at 2. Winners have gone on to get injured 50% of the time before May of their 3yo season. Winners have never been able to even start the Belmont. Never, not once. <br /><br />I'll surely agree that 2yo colts able to start in the BC Juvenile go on to have nice careers - but winners seem to have outrun their skins too early, come back training softly the following year, and find the injury bug more often than one would think. Again Street Sense is the only exception and his trainer has a history of being less than conventional. <br /><br />Uncle Mo is a perfect example. The sheer fact of his brilliance in the BC at 2 may be his ultimate undoing. Remember War Pass? <br /><br />These colts are precisely those who can handle, and thrive under more racing and more works - but they never get it. Pletcher and others stick to roughly the same regimens they give other 3yo with much less proven ability. <br /><br />Kling does have it right in one respect: traits that make you a mile champ at 2 are not often the same ones that make you a 1.25 mile champ at 3.Billhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01925835645395247607noreply@blogger.com